NFL game totals · 2026 season · picks with receipts
ORACLESee the edge.
A machine-learning model for NFL game totals. Every pick posted here before kickoff, every result graded in public, and it tells you when it's cold.
NFL game totals · 2026 season · picks with receipts
A machine-learning model for NFL game totals. Every pick posted here before kickoff, every result graded in public, and it tells you when it's cold.
The ledger
This is the product. Each pick is stamped at the line it was released at, and stays here graded win or loss. The ledger is append-only: rows are added, never edited.
games the model priced and passed on. It needs a projected edge of at least 5 points before it releases a pick. Most weeks that means a short list. Some weeks it means none, and we say so.
What we're doing here
Every sports pick account you've seen sells the same thing: a screenshot of a win and a promise. Oracle sells the opposite. A model, a ledger, and a rule that it has to prove itself before anyone pays for it.
The model prices every NFL game total from twenty inputs: how efficiently each offense has been moving the ball, recent scoring against its own baseline, wind and cloud cover at kickoff, quarterback quality, short rest, primetime and divisional flags, and how lopsided the spread is. It only plays UNDERs, because that's the only side where the backtest held up honestly. When it doesn't see an edge, it sits. When it goes cold, it halts, and the halt goes on this page too.
You won't find a win-rate on this site. Not because it's bad, but because a percentage on a landing page is worth nothing until it's earned live. What you'll find is every pick, timestamped, and what happened next.
— Ethan, builder of Oracle
How it works
The whole process fits in a paragraph, and it doesn't change week to week. That's the point.
Tuesday through Saturday the model projects a total for all sixteen games from twenty features and compares it to the market line.
A pick goes out only when the projection sits 5+ points under the line. It is posted here and to the feed before the game starts, with the line it was priced at.
After the game the pick is marked win or loss. We also record the closing line and show each pick against it, because beating the close is the one number that separates skill from luck.
The bar, written down before Week 1
Every pick is a public paper trade until at least 30 games have been graded against the closing line, the minimum sample we wrote down before the season. The billing switch stays off until that sample clears the bar. If it misses, this page will say it missed.
Plans · after the gate
Apps like this charge $30 to $100 a month. Oracle starts at $10, because we'd rather prove it first. Billing opens only if the bar above is cleared.
Up to 3 picks a week
Up to 10 picks a week
Every pick the model releases
7-day free trial at full Elite access when billing opens. Founding-member price lock: early subscribers keep $10 / $20 / $40 for life, even as sports are added and prices rise. No lifetime deals, no annual plans.
Follow the season
This page is the record. The feed carries the weekly ledger card, the picks, and the halt weeks. The app arrives around Week 9. Until then, this page and the feed are the product.